The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a major severe weather outbreak today and/or tonight.
The convective outlook from the Storm Prediction Center has issued this map showing a moderate/high risk for severe weather in TN on Tuesday, Feb. 5, 2008. It appears the greatest threat for Mid TN will be after dark.
Rarely does the SPC issue a "High Risk" categorization as they have done today. AR and West TN are particularly at risk.
From the SPC, this ominous commentary:
OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP WILL BECOME QUITE FAVORABLE FOR AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES...INCLUDING LONG-LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY BOTH WITH THE SEVERE STORMS AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW/NEAR FRONTAL ZONE AND WITH ANY WARM SECTOR DEVELOPMENT. LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS WILL HAVE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES OVER MUCH OF THE MDT RISK AREA THRU THE EVENING HOURS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THRU TUE NIGHT AND EVOLVE MORE INTO A SQUALL LINE WITH ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WELL AFTER DARK PARTICULARLY IN AREA WHERE HIGHER CAPES ARE AVAILABLE FROM TN SWD.
I sent this to my brother, also a lover of extreme weather. He responded, "Must be nice."